Birth Rate Lowest in Century

The Russian government has predicted that the country's birth rate will collapse to levels not seen since the early nineteenth century

Russian authorities included this forecast in their draft budget of the Social Fund (formerly the Pension Fund), which also pays out benefits for children.

Last year, 1.306 million children were born in the Russian Federation. This represents an annual decline since the 1990s of 1.244 million.

In 2024, the total number of births is expected to fall even lower - to 1.171 million children, then to  1.153 million the following year, and to 1.143 million in 2026.

Demographer Alexey Raksha told The Moscow Times numbers have not been this low since tsarist times. He also recently posted that year-on-year declines in Russian birthrates saw a nearly 10% decline.

The previous low in Russia's birth rate, according to Rosstat, was set in 1999 – 1.214 million children. This year, the number of births are expected to remain slightly higher (by about 30 thousand), but starting next year it is projected to fall below previous lows.

The annual number of births of children in Russia has been steadily declining since the annexation of Crimea and has already fallen by almost a third: 1.942 million in 2014, 1.94 million in 2015, 1.888 million in 2016, 1.69 million in 2017, 1.604 million in 2018, 1.481 million in 2019, 1.436 million in 2020, 1.398 million in 2021.